Running The Numbers – Intrinsic Value Of Verizon ($VZ)
Thursday, October 30th, 2008Verizon ($VZ) announced positive third-quarter results this week. Analysts have been generally impressed. How does the current share price look from an intrinsic value perspective?
Valuecruncher valuation model of $VZ with interactive assumptions
Valuecruncher produces a valuation of US$37.77 for $VZ. This is a current valuation (an estimate of intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model) not a target price. This valuation is 23.8% above the current share price of US$30.50.
Assumptions
- Revenue: Reuters aggregates 22 analysts covering $VZ and these analysts have mean estimates of 2008 and 2009 revenues of US$97.0 billion and US$103.3 billion respectively. For our analysis we have used US$97.0 billion in 2008, US$103.0 billion in 2009 and US$105.0 billion in 2010.
- Profitability: We have used an EBITDA margin of 32.0% in 2008 rising to 33.0% in 2010. Reuters has $VZ‘s EBITD margin at 32.7% last year and 34.4% over the last five-years.
- Capital Expenditure: We have assumed capital expenditures of US$17.5 billion per annum moving forward.
- Discount Rate: 9.0%.
- Terminal Growth Rate: 1.5%.
Our analysis incorporates the cash and debt the $VZ balance sheet – Valuecruncher calculates a net debt number.
Play with our assumptions – what does your analysis say?
Disclosure: None
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